In Sheila Bair’s world, loan modification is the panacea that will solve our nation’s mortgage problems.
“Panacea” is certainly the operative word here.
Loan modifications, as it turns out, stink — for lack of a more diplomatic term. By and large, they don’t keep people out of foreclosure, they just postpone the inevitable, according to data released today by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. That’s not going to solve anything.
You want ugly performance numbers? How about these:
* After three months, nearly 36% of the borrowers with modified loans had re-defaulted by being more than 30 days past due;
* After six months, the rate was nearly 53%; and
* After eight months, 58%.
Ouch!
In a speech today, the Comptroller of the Currency John C. Dugan asked what these numbers meant.

His answer? He had none.
How about this answer: deadbeats don’t get a heartbeat just because you shock them with a financial defibrillator. Or put another way, the unemployment rate is 6.7%.
We all know that Sheila Bair of the FDIC has been touting loan modifications as the cure-all for the mortgage crisis. At least today’s data shows Bair is barking up the wrong financial program. I certainly hope she goes back to square one to figure this all out. Welcome to the Wall Street wilderness, Ms. Bair.





